College Football Playoff Picture for Week 12: Ohio State-UC fight for last spot


Georgia is the one Power 5 unbeaten staff left. 

The Bulldogs appear like the perfect wager to make the College Football Playoff. Cincinnati, certainly one of two unbeatens within the Group of 5, nonetheless is within the combine. The remainder of the top-10 contenders have one loss. 

The third set of CFP rankings will probably be Tuesday. How will they kind out that one-loss mess? 

The Big 12 took the newest hit when Oklahoma suffered a 27-14 loss to Baylor in Week 11. The Sooners won’t fall down the rankings a lot, however the heirachy of top-10 groups modifications. The Big Ten nonetheless has a one-loss logjam with Ohio State, Michigan State and Michigan to be solved over the following two weeks, too. Cincinnati acquired assist with the Sooners’ loss. Will they get extra within the last three weeks? 

Each week, we’ll break down the playoff image primarily based on how we predict the CFP committee ought to rank the top-10 groups. As we noticed last week, the committee won’t agree with these rankings. 

BENDER: OU will not be forgiven this time by CFP committee

Future outcomes usually are not projected:

Four within the College Football Playoff 

1. Georgia (10-0)

Remaining schedule: vs. Charleston Southern, at Georgia Tech 

Tennessee scored a first-quarter TD and notched a season excessive in factors in opposition to the Bulldogs. Georgia nonetheless mandhandled its rival 41-17 and had the help of a dashing assault that piled up 274 yards on 6.7 yards per carry. Georgia has 4 victories in opposition to ranked opponents and capped off an ideal common season in SEC play. There stays little question who’s No. 1 for now. 

2. Alabama (9-1)

Remaining schedule: vs. Arkansas, at Auburn 

Alabama lined a 51.5-point unfold in a 59-3 victory in opposition to New Mexico State in a tune-up earlier than the season-ending stretch in opposition to Arkansas and Auburn. Bryce Young completed 21 of 23 for 270 yards and 5 TDs in a stat-padder efficiency, and Jameson Williams continued a superb season with six catches for 158 yards and three TDs. There is nothing new to be realized concerning the Crimson Tide on this win that the following two weeks will not make clear. Alabama will keep in its No. 2 spot because of this. 

MORE: Young remains in thick of Heisman race

3. Oregon (9-1)

Remaining schedule: at Utah, vs. Oregon State 

Oregon and Washington State had been tied at halftime, however the Ducks pulled away within the third quarter and held on for a 38-24 win. The CFP committee may get tough and put Ohio State at No. 3, however we’ll maintain to Oregon’s head-to-head victory on Sept. 11. Anthony Brown continues to evolve as a twin menace. He completed with 135 passing yards and 123 dashing yards, and the tag-team of Travis Dye (88 yards, TD) and Byron Cardwell (98 yards, 2 TDs) is greater than sufficient help within the working sport. Kayvon Thibodeaux additionally got here up wiht a clutch red-zone sack. The greatest Pac-12 check is available in Week 12 at Utah.

4. Ohio State (9-1)

Remaining schedule: vs. Michigan State, at Michigan 

Spoilermakers? Not a lot. Ohio State hammered Purdue 59-31 so as to add a second victory in opposition to a ranked opponent to its resume. The committee favors the Buckeyes forward of the Bearcats, and it will keep the way in which Tuesday. Ohio State racked up 386 yards within the first half and constructed a 45-17 lead. C.J. Stroud completed 31 of 38 for 361 yards and 5 TDs. The Buckeyes racked up 624 yards of their most-complete offensive efficiency in a month. Ohio State will get top-10 showdowns in opposition to Michigan State and Michigan the following two weeks. The Buckeyes stay the staff to beat within the Big Ten. 

Two out 

5. Cincinnati (10-0)

Remaining schedule: vs. SMU, at East Carolina

There is a few “score shaming” happening with the Bearcats. Cincinnati led South Florida 31-7 within the third quarter, however the Bulls reduce the result in 10 within the second half in a 45-28 loss. Does the rating matter? It’s a notion battle Cincinnati won’t win the American Athletic Conference, and this was the third straight week the Bearcats didn’t cowl a big unfold. Among the ten groups Cincinnati has crushed, solely Notre Dame has a Power 5 win. Does that top-10 victory in opposition to Notre Dame imply sufficient? The actuality is Cincinnati will want certainly one of Alabama, Oregon or Ohio State to lose. 

6. Michigan State (9-1)

Remaining schedule: at Ohio State, vs. Penn State 

Unlike the CFP committee, we’re nonetheless honoring the Spartans’ head-to-head victory in opposition to the Wolverines. This is an issue that may maintain itself when Michigan State and Ohio State meet at Ohio Stadium on Saturday. The Spartans displayed a balanced offense in a 40-21 blowout in opposition to Maryland. Kenneth Walker III rushed for 143 yards and two TDs to proceed his Heisman push, and Payton Thorne handed for 287 yards and 4 TDs. The Spartans are the last Big Ten faculty to win on the highway at Ohio State; a victory that led to a CFP berth in 2015. Will historical past repeat itself? 

Four to look at 

7. Michigan (9-1)

Remaining schedule: vs. Maryland, at Ohio State 

Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh deserves credit score for main Michigan to a clutch clutch 21-17 highway victory at Penn State. Cade McNamara threw the game-winning TD go to Erick All, and Hassan Haskins rushed 31 occasions for 156 yards. Aidan Hutchinson and David Ojabo mixed for 5 of the Wolverines’ seven sacks. Michigan can arrange a battle of 10-1 groups in opposition to Ohio State if each groups maintain enterprise this week. The Wolverines shut their highway schedule at Maryland. 

MORE: James Franklin explains failed fake FG vs. Michigan

8. Notre Dame (9-1) 

Remaining schedule: vs. Georgia Tech, at Stanford 

Notre Dame is beginning to wiggle into the playoff dialog. The Irish didn’t have a lot hassle with Virginia, which didn’t have quarterback Brennan Armstrong (ribs). Notre Dame cruised to a 28-3 victory, its fourth straight double-digit victory. The Irish are nonetheless hampered by the loss to Cincinnati, and they’d want the Big Ten East champion to lose a possible matchup with Wisconsin within the Big Ten championship sport. Remember, the Irish manhandled the Badgers 41-13. Notre Dame just isn’t out of the combination but. 

9. Oklahoma State (9-1)

Remaining schedule: at Texas Tech, vs. Oklahoma 

The Cowboys beat Baylor. That’s going to be a key piece in potential tie-breakers for the Big 12 championship sport. Oklahoma State continued what has grow to be a dominant defensive stretch in a 63-17 blowout in opposition to TCU. The Cowboys have allowed simply 7.7 ppg. in three wins for the reason that loss to Iowa State on Nov. 23. Oklahoma State nonetheless has to show it by breaking a six-game dropping streak in Bedlam, however the Sooners haven’t appeared good of their last two highway video games. The CFP committee will respect Oklahoma State’s resume a bit of extra; a minimum of for this week. 

10. Oklahoma (9-1)

Remaining schedule: vs. Iowa State, at Oklahoma State 

The Sooners misplaced 27-14 to Baylor in a loss that places their CFP hopes on blast. Sure, every of Oklahoma’s 4 CFP runs since 2015 have come after a loss in convention play, however the committee didn’t like all of them that a lot with an unbeaten report. Baylor rushed for 296 yards, and Lincoln Riley toggled quarterbacks Caleb Williams and Spencer Rattler via a surprising loss to the Bears. The Sooners nonetheless management their future to get again to the Big 12 championship sport, however they’re close to the again of the one-loss line of contenders for the CFP. 

MORE: QB shuffle does not work in OU loss to Baylor

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